August 2017

Temecula Valley Section 0713

August 2017 Monthly Dinner Meeting

Topic: “Introduction to Monte Carlo Simulation”

Who: Dr. Jack B. ReVelle

When: Thursday, August 17th,, 2017 at 6:00 PM

Where: Temecula Library Community Room B
30600 Pauba Road,
Temecula, CA 92592

Dinner Cost: $20.00 for members
$25.00 for non-members

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Presentation Title: “Introduction to Monte Carlo Simulation”

Abstract: Simulation is analogous to a trial and error decision-making process, i.e., the model, which represents reality, is constructed and used to evaluate the system/process at various points in time. Simulation models can be physical or symbolic, and either hand-operated or computerized. Simulation is an experimental procedure using a model to evaluate & study system/ process behavior over long periods of time. However, unlike the real world decision process, simulation is a before-the-fact operation and, as such, it provides a means through which decisions can be evaluated free of the risks present in actual, real world implementation.

Presentation takeaways:

  • Learn how and why the Monte Carlo simulation technique was named
  • Learn how Monte Carlo simulations deal with complex problems not easily solved with an equation
  • Learn why simulation provides the ability to make predictions about the outcome of an actual system without disrupting it
  • Learn about how models facilitate Monte Carlo simulation
  • Learn the four major phases of simulation

Presentation Speaker: Dr. Jack B. ReVelle

Dr. Jack B. ReVelle provides his advice and assistance as a consulting statistician.  His credentials include over 40 clients, over 30 books, handbooks, videos and software packages as well as over 80 ASQ webcasts.  Dr. ReVelle received his B.S. in Chemical Engineering from Purdue University, and both his M.S. and Ph.D. in Industrial Engineering and Management from Oklahoma State University.  He is a Fellow of the American Society for Quality, the Institute of Industrial and Systems Engineers, and the Institute for the Advancement of Engineering.  Dr. ReVelle was awarded the Dorian Shainin Medal by the ASQ in 2012 “for the development and application of creative or unique statistical approaches in the solving of problems relative to the quality of a product or service” and the Simon Collier Quality Award by the ASQ Los Angeles Section 0700 in 2015 “In recognition of nearly 50 years of consulting, training, writing and speaking about the technical aspects of quality. This has expanded awareness, appreciation and application of Lean Six Sigma, TQM, Agile and Kaizen in business, industry, government and academia.” He continues to deliver data-related presentations to local chapters of ASQ and IISE. Learn more about Jack B. ReVelle, Ph.D. at [www.ReVelleSolutions.com].

Join us for a wonderful presentation of “Introduction to Monte Carlo Simulation” on August 17th, 2017 at 6:00pm!!!

This eye-opening and invaluable discussion will give even seasoned auditors a new perspective, and will help improve the audit experience not only for clients, but also dramatically reduce problems with Certification Body internal review committees and Accreditation Bodies.
As a clinic participant, you will:
The “angle of perception” used by auditors, and how to expand it using the “missing senses” to soak up evidence like a sponge.
Learn how auditees hide nonconformities in plain view, based on predicted auditor behavior.
Never again have your audit findings challenged because of weak evidence.
Speaker Bio: Christopher Paris is a former Chemical Process Engineer, and has worked with ISO 9001 systems since 1988.  In 1999, he founded Oxebridge Quality Resources, an ISO 9001 and AS9100 consulting firm whose clients include SpaceX, Lufthansa, L3 Communications, and
200 small and medium sized organizations. He was a member of the US TAG to TC 176,
and is an international speaker on the subject of quality and ISO 9001, primarily advocating
for the point of view of standards users.  Click Here for more on Christopher Paris bio.